{"id":2543,"date":"2021-04-04T20:39:23","date_gmt":"2021-04-05T04:39:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/?p=2543"},"modified":"2021-04-04T20:42:21","modified_gmt":"2021-04-05T04:42:21","slug":"has-your-luck-in-fire-emblem-heroes-changed-summoners","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/2021\/04\/04\/has-your-luck-in-fire-emblem-heroes-changed-summoners\/","title":{"rendered":"Has your luck in Fire Emblem Heroes changed, summoners?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ever since IS added the spark feature and 4* focus last year; and 4* special and the reduce pity broken rate earlier this year, the number of 5* heroes I got from summoning seems to increase a little bit. I don&#8217;t know whether my luck has changed or it&#8217;s simply the result of the recent change in summoning mechanic.<\/p>\n<p>So, I decided to revisit my previous gacha luck investigation:\u00a0&#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/2019\/06\/11\/feh-summoner-how-lucky-are-you\/\">FEH Summoner: How lucky are you?<\/a>&#8221; I&#8217;d like to know whether my luck has changed for the better or not.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Similar to the previous investigation, I decided to update the old program that I wrote to include the most recent mechanic update.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Pull every single stone (no sniping)<\/li>\n<li>Sample size 1,000 people<\/li>\n<li>Simulate regular banner with spark<\/li>\n<li>Simulate legendary banner<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Here&#8217;s the result from my simulation.<\/p>\n<h4>Regular banner with spark mechanic<\/h4>\n<p>Since we can now pull any of the 4 focus units after 40 summons, all players will at least get 1 focus unit when they summon at least 40 times.<\/p>\n<p>So, what does the charts below tell us? 250 out of 1,000 summoner will not get any 5* focus unit from their summoning session. Those 250 summoners only get the focus unit from sparking. Average luck will get you 1 focus unit from summoning + 1 focus unit from sparking. If you can summon more than 1 focus unit from your session, then your luck is already more than average. Super lucky summoners can get 3 or more focus units from their summoning session (4 or more if we include the sparking).<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-2541\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/SparkFocusLuck.png\" alt=\"SparkFocusLuck\" width=\"577\" height=\"385\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/SparkFocusLuck.png 577w, https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/SparkFocusLuck-300x200.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 577px) 100vw, 577px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Now, if we also include the normal pity broken unit and the new 4* special hero (that turn to a 5* hero), the number is actually much better.<\/p>\n<p>Average luck summoners will get between 4-5 any 5* star heroes (focus\/pity\/4*special). It doesn&#8217;t sound so bad. I&#8217;ve only summoned twice on the regular banner with spark feature. I&#8217;ve gotten 4 and 5. I thought I was lucky, but as you can see, it&#8217;s just average luck.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-2542\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/SparkLuck.png\" alt=\"SparkLuck\" width=\"576\" height=\"384\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/SparkLuck.png 576w, https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/SparkLuck-300x200.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 576px) 100vw, 576px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h4>Legendary banner<\/h4>\n<p>How about the legendary banner? Legendary banner has no pity broken heroes or the 4* focus units. Simulation result shows that summoners are getting more 5* heroes due to the new 4* special heroes, but not by much &#8211; up to 4 additional 5* heroes for those luckiest summoner out there. Now, the unluckiest summoner will get 8 5* heroes instead of 7 5* heroes (previously)<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-2540\" src=\"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/LegendaryLuck.png\" alt=\"LegendaryLuck\" width=\"577\" height=\"385\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/LegendaryLuck.png 577w, https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/LegendaryLuck-300x200.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 577px) 100vw, 577px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>So, summoners, have your luck changed for the better? Mine has not.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ever since IS added the spark feature and 4* focus last year; and 4* special and the reduce pity broken rate earlier this year, the number of 5* heroes I got from summoning seems to increase a little bit. I don&#8217;t know whether my luck has changed or it&#8217;s simply the result of the recent &#8230; <a title=\"Has your luck in Fire Emblem Heroes changed, summoners?\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/2021\/04\/04\/has-your-luck-in-fire-emblem-heroes-changed-summoners\/\" aria-label=\"More on Has your luck in Fire Emblem Heroes changed, summoners?\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2543"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2543"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2543\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2546,"href":"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2543\/revisions\/2546"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2543"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2543"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.sirknightj.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2543"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}